Image from Tao Ran notes WeChat public number
In the early morning of May 11, the news of the end of the 11th round of China-US economic and trade consultations ended.
It is said that after the consultations, Vice Premier Liu He accepted a collective interview with Chinese journalists and answered questions related to the consultation.
According to Tao Ran’s notes, the answer to the position was firm, the attitude was frank, the atmosphere was calm, the content was detailed, and some information about the recent consultations was disclosed. I roughly talked about the following layers of meaning.
First, the results achieved by the two sides as of the eleventh round of consultations.
Second, China has disclosed its three differences with the US for the first time.
The third is to make it clear that the addition of tariffs will inevitably trigger the Chinese side to counter.
Fourth, it expressed its basic attitude towards the prospects of Sino-US relations and revealed that both parties agreed to continue to maintain communication.
The most important news is actually the fourth article.
Because the US mentioned the continued increase in tariffs, the outside world has been speculating whether the Sino-US consultations have broken down.
It is understood that from the content of the reporter’s question, the two teams agreed to maintain communication. This also shows that the willingness to negotiate between the two sides has not completely disappeared.
Rather than being a breach, it can be seen as an episode in the consultation process in the event that the differences between the two sides cannot be resolved in the short term.
After the statement, let me say a few feelings.
First of all, a major difference between China and the United States is probably that the two sides have different perceptions of “fairness.”
In these two days, the US frequently uttered voices through foreign media, and this round of consultations showed twists and turns, and even the reason for re-adding tariffs was attributed to China’s “non-compliance with the promises that have been negotiated” during the consultations.
This statement has been enlarged in layers and has a market overseas. When I arrived in China, some of my friends felt that it sounded the same.
In fact, as long as you pay attention to it, you can notice the two flaws in it. It is not difficult to see that this is a public opinion issue set up by the US for the responsibility of the negotiations.
First, the consultations have not been completed and have not been signed.
Strictly speaking, any change before the final signing should be regarded as one of the consultation processes. The reference to “non-compliance with commitments” is in fact impossible to talk about. The US side, which is longer than various negotiating techniques, should be well aware of this.
Second, the US side said that China did not meet the requirements of the US, so it was “unfair”, but the US side did not mention the Chinese demands. Is this fair?
It seems that on the definition of “fairness”, there are still differences on both sides.
The Chinese side believes that mutual respect, equality and mutual benefit are fair.
In the American narrative, it seems unfair to not satisfy his own requirements.
How do you see this difference? You can look at the views that an elder has mentioned to me.
In the consultations between the two countries, if one is not satisfied with the two sides but is generally acceptable, it will be successful and will be implemented smoothly. If it is only a unilaterally particularly satisfactory agreement, and ignores the interests and demands of the other party, then even if it is signed, it may not be able to land, and the aftermath is endless.
This is just like what we said before. If one party only considers its own demands and thinks that it can force the other party to submit it through the extreme pressure, and ignores the fairness of the consultation, then it is not without the possibility of disappointment.
Secondly, it is very likely that the Sino-US economic and trade consultations will talk about this situation and it is necessary to adapt as soon as possible.
The eleventh round of economic and trade consultations is the most typical example.
The consultations are still being discussed. The US side has raised the tariff rate of 200 billion US dollars of Chinese exports to the United States from 10% to 25%. It also threatens to impose a 25% tariff on US$325 billion in Chinese exports to the United States. The Chinese side also announced the counter-measure in the first place, while emphasizing the necessary counter-measures against the US measures.
Talk while playing.
Contradictions? Very contradictory.
But think about it, it makes sense.
Negotiation is the process of finding mutual balance of interests in mutual temptation and mutual understanding.
Now you need to be aware of a problem as soon as possible.
The process of talking and talking will inevitably face a very complicated situation. Looking at the news of stimulating people one by one, but we still have to adhere to our own pace of development, adhere to openness to promote reform and promote development, and promote the development of high-quality economy. Reform and opening up to become a big domestic market.
It’s not good to have no strength.
Finally, the individual feels that there is a need for some more thinking about the future of Sino-US relations.
On the one hand, China will certainly continue unswervingly along its own development path.
On the other hand, there are still some people in the United States who are accustomed to using the “one or the other” rather than the “seeking common ground while reserving differences” thinking mode to look at China’s development.
We mainly think that through development, we can make “incremental” and achieve mutual cooperation and win-win.
Some of them believe that our development cannot be “incremental” and will touch their “stock”.
Such a contradiction will still exist within a considerable time and scope.
This kind of contradiction determines the communication friction between China and the United States, which has long-term, arduous and complicated characteristics.
How long is it?
The Sino-US trade war has been going on for more than a year and continues.
How hard will it be?
Needless to say, the eleventh round of consultations has already revealed this feature.
How complicated will it be?
Playing and talking will bring a lot of variables that are difficult to estimate. There are talks, talks and fights, let alone collisions and communication in other fields.
No matter whether China and the United States can finally reach an economic and trade agreement, there will still be many different opinions between China and the United States, and there will be many differences. Many people abroad, as well as some people in China, believe that this will lead to a wide range of frictions and contradictions between China and the United States.
This possibility exists, but there is another possibility to be seen.
China and the United States can still find another way – a model that can control differences and find the greatest common denominator of mutual interests.
In the view of Tao Ran’s notes, this is exactly the way China is currently striving to promote, and it is also the fundamental reason for the non-stop promotion of the US side.
When a certain balance point is found between China and the United States, the close friction or collision between the two sides will gradually calm down.
Of course, this idea is right, and it needs facts to test it.
At this stage, the US side, including a large number of people in the country, does not understand this prospect and does not agree with it. Therefore, it is necessary to try more communication and use more facts to convince them.
Being able to talk or to talk about it, the fight also has the ability to fight, “to unite with struggle and unite.”
As long as we do not forget the original heart, do not forget that the purpose of the struggle is to find a suitable mode of interaction for each other, then our truth, there is always a day to convince people.
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